You get half a point by drawing a match I believe.
We actually need just 3 points to retain the cup (if we draw 14-14 then the holders keep it).
It does look like we are odds on to win though. Heh, the one time when the UK really gets into the whole Europe thing. Next week we won't consider ourselves part of europe. Again.
Still, remember 1999, that was a hell of a comeback, although this is even more extreme (2 extra points between the two).
Cheers
I am 99% probably lying in bed right now... so don't blame me for crappy typing